Parts of northwestern Indiana are effectively suburbs of Chicago, Obama's home base. During the Indiana Primary, strong turnout in this region almost enabled Obama to pull off an upset victory. Four years ago, John Kerry racked up a 23-percentage point margin over George Bush in Lake County, the state's most northwestern county. Strong turnout in that region could have an impact on the fall election as well.
The latest numbers show Daniels with a 60% to 33% among unaffiliated voters in Indiana. He leads 58% to 39% among men and 54% to 41% among women.
The Governor is viewed favorably by 62% of voters and unfavorably by 35%. He also earns good or excellent job approval ratings from 55% of voters. One in five voters (20%) say Daniels is doing a poor job as governor.
Thompson's ratings are 46% favorable, 41% unfavorable.
Both presidential candidates have approval ratings above 50%, and it is beginning to look like this contest could come down to a question of turn-out. And considering the Obama field plan consists of over 30 regional offices with a full-time staff (volunteer and otherwise) approaching triple-digits, and McCain is still sporting his one phone, smart money is on the Democrats to get their people to the polls.
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