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ARG Poll: Clinton Leads by 9 in Indiana

by: Vox Populi

Fri Apr 04, 2008 at 14:25:59 PM EDT


(Bumped from the user diaries. - promoted by Thomas)

The American Research Group (ARG) released a poll today taken April 2-3 that shows Hillary Clinton leading Barack Obama by a 53-44 margin.  The poll has a 4% margin of error.

The results nearly mirror a poll released earlier this week by polling firm Survey USA, which showed Clinton in the lead with a 52-43 margin.  It runs in contrast to a poll by Research 2000 which shows a much closer race, with Clinton ahead 49-46.

The ARG poll has Clinton as the favorite of Democratic voters, whereas Obama is preferred by the overwhelming majority of independents, who are eligible to vote in Indiana's Democratic primary.  There are no cross-tabs or regional breakdown available at this time.

Indiana
Likely Democratic Primary Voters Apr 2-3

Clinton 53%
Obama 44%
Someone else 1%
Undecided 2%

Indiana
Likely Democratic Primary Voters
Democrats (78%) Independents (22%)

Clinton 59% 31%
Obama 38% 64%
Someone else 1% -
Undecided 2% 5%

I expect to see a lot more of both senators in the near future.

Vox Populi :: ARG Poll: Clinton Leads by 9 in Indiana
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Thanks for the scoop -- (0.00 / 0)
I'll bump this to the front page in an hour or so.

I buy these results more than the Research 2000 numbers, but that's gut instinct talking.


You trust this poll more? (0.00 / 0)
How? ARG has a terrible polling record. Also, Obama's internal spreadsheet shows him winning Indiana by 7.  They have yet to be wrong with the exception of Maine which they thought they would lose.

[ Parent ]

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