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Indiana Prediction Thread (Contest with Prize)

by: Vox Populi

Mon May 05, 2008 at 18:28:49 PM EDT

(Bumped from the user diaries. I'm a sucker for contests. - promoted by Thomas)

Here's the official Indiana Election Day prediction thread. I'll be taking predictions for the Presidential, Gubernatorial and IN-7 races.

The persons whose predictions most closely match the actual results will be declared the winner. There will be one winner for each category. As a prize, each winner will be able to choose a candidate from the ActBlue database to be placed on my ActBlue page. In addition, I will contribute $5.06 (in honor of election day) to each candidate to honor the winner's choices.

So let the game begin. Submissions must be made by 10am Tuesday morning to be valid.

Vox Populi :: Indiana Prediction Thread (Contest with Prize)

Tags: Election 2008, Predictions, (All Tags)

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Indiana Prediction Thread (Contest with Prize) | 20 comments

I'll bite (0.00 / 0)

Clinton over Obama by 5 points
Myers over Carson by 3 points
Thompson over Schellinger by 8 points

Bil Browning
Founder of The Bilerico Project and Bilerico-Indiana.

by: bilerico @ Mon May 05, 2008 at 17:58:57 PM CDT

by: you @ soon

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My predictions... (0.00 / 0)

President
Hillary Clinton: 54%
Barack Obama: 46%
Governor
Jim Schellinger: 45%
Jill Long Thompson: 55%
Congress
Andre Carson: 35%
Carolene Mays: 8%
Woody Myers: 36%
David Orentlicher: 15%

I put it in the comments so I wouldn't be tempted to edit my own predictions ;)

So I've got Clinton, Thompson and Myers winning.

Hoosier Progressive

by: Vox Populi @ Mon May 05, 2008 at 18:45:26 PM CDT

by: you @ soon

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Here we go.... (0.00 / 0)

Clinton 54%
Obama 46%

Thompson 53%
Schellinger 47%

Carson 40%
Myers 37%
The Rest 23%

"The ignorance of one voter in a democracy impairs the security of all"
-John F. Kennedy

by: RedhawkHoosier @ Mon May 05, 2008 at 20:00:38 PM CDT

by: you @ soon

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I'm in (0.00 / 0)

President

Clinton: 53%
Obama: 47%

Governor

Thompson: 49%
Schellinger: 51%

7th District

Myers: 39%
Carson: 37%
the rest: 24%

The Myers 2008 victory party is at University Place Conference Center at IUPUI in the main ballroom, 7pm. If possible to do so I will stream it live on UStream here on Blue Indiana. We will at minimum have taped coverage of it on our YouTube channel tomorrow evening.

"All tyranny needs to gain a foothold is for people of good conscience to remain silent." - Thomas Jefferson

by: finifinito @ Mon May 05, 2008 at 20:36:28 PM CDT

by: you @ soon

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Hopefully this will be more accurate than my NCAA bracket (0.00 / 0)

President

Clinton 53%
Obama 47%

Governor

Thompson 56%
Schellinger 44%

IN-07

Carson 43%
Myers 33%
Orentlicher 16%
Mays and others 8%

by: Tyrion @ Mon May 05, 2008 at 20:44:01 PM CDT

by: you @ soon

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Safe bets... (0.00 / 0)

The point of gambling is to take a risk... that's where the payoffs are. ;)

Hoosier Progressive

by: Vox Populi @ Mon May 05, 2008 at 20:50:42 PM CDT

[ Parent ]

My shot at it.. (0.00 / 0)

Obama 49%
Clinton 51%

And she wins by 1-2 delegates over him.

Thompson 54%
Schellinger 46%

Based on her following in Northern IN and name-recognition. (Although she'll get beat by Daniels in the fall, I believe this will be a slap to Evan. And I'd love to see her take Mitchie's cajones in a cage match!)

Carson 36%
Myers 34%
Orentlicher 20%
etc..

Although I don't live in this district, I'd like to have seen Orentlicher make a much better run.

by: LafayetteLib @ Mon May 05, 2008 at 23:29:57 PM CDT

by: you @ soon

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too late (0.00 / 0)

it is a little late for Orentlicher to make a better run.....his campaign never got off the ground...I voted for Carson but thought David O would put on a helluva campaign but it never got started.

by: Blue Beard @ Tue May 06, 2008 at 07:40:34 AM CDT

[ Parent ]

Prediction (4.00 / 1)

Clinton 51
Obama 49

Long Thompson 56
Schellinger 44

7th District (no idea at all)
Carson - 32
Myers - 28
Orentlicher - 25
Mays - 15
-------

Personally, I hope that Obama, Schellinger, and Orentlicher win. But, as in sports, I usually bet against my hopes.

There is no windchill at absolute zero.

by: Masson @ Tue May 06, 2008 at 06:37:17 AM CDT

by: you @ soon

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predictions (0.00 / 0)

CLinton 52
Obama 48

Carson 42
Woody 32

Schellinger 51
JLT 49

by: Blue Beard @ Tue May 06, 2008 at 07:41:56 AM CDT

by: you @ soon

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I'll add fuel to the fire, (0.00 / 0)

even though I'm late:

Clinton 58
Obama 42

Schellinger 51
JLT 49

Myers 36
Carson 33
Orentlicher 20
Mays 11

by: ManfromMiddletown @ Tue May 06, 2008 at 09:06:42 AM CDT

by: you @ soon

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Less than 2 cents worth (4.00 / 2)

Clinton 50%
Obama 50%

Thompson 50%
Schellinger 50%

Carson 50%
Myers 31%
The Rest 19%

by: ch @ Tue May 06, 2008 at 11:55:14 AM CDT

by: you @ soon

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That would result.... (4.00 / 1)

...in one helluva long night.

by: Thomas @ Tue May 06, 2008 at 12:03:23 PM CDT

[ Parent ]

You must have a crystal ball (4.00 / 1)

ELLSWORTH FOR SENATE 2010

by: Mario Cuomo @ Tue May 06, 2008 at 23:27:11 PM CDT

[ Parent ]

numbers (0.00 / 0)

Woody: 35%
Carson: 30%
Orentlicher: 22%
Mays: 12%
Other: 1%

Governor

JLT: 58%
Jim: 42%

President:
Obama 52%
Hillary: 48%

http://justmoreliberaltalk.blo...

by: kcflood @ Tue May 06, 2008 at 14:03:51 PM CDT

by: you @ soon

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Let's not forget the crazy way the NCAA tourney... (0.00 / 0)

...actually turned out. I played it safe and my bracket was busted by St. Paddy's day.

Let's have some fun with this bracket.

Obama 51
Clinton 49

JLT 58
Schellinger 42

Carson 58
Woody 30
The rest 12

Obama '08

by: Mr Z @ Tue May 06, 2008 at 14:18:47 PM CDT

by: you @ soon

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So... (0.00 / 0)

Clinton- 58
Obama- 42

JLT- 52
Schellinger- 48

Carson- 41
Myers- 36
Orentlicher- 17
Mays- 6

by: blueandwhite31 @ Tue May 06, 2008 at 16:05:22 PM CDT

by: you @ soon

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Hm (0.00 / 0)

I was on target with the Pres.. off by much on the other two. I wonder how much and how the Pres race affected the Gov. And did people just not know enough about either.. and randomly apportioned by chance? Carson's win is due in the margin to Obama.

by: LafayetteLib @ Wed May 07, 2008 at 09:06:05 AM CDT

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Dang... (0.00 / 0)

I should have posted my prediction here.

I didn't think I would have done so well.

by: Bob M @ Wed May 07, 2008 at 10:08:12 AM CDT

by: you @ soon

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Poor HTML Skills (0.00 / 0)

Sorry about that. I am used to Blogger which does most of the coding for you.

Here is the link:

http://southshoreprogressive.b...

by: Bob M @ Wed May 07, 2008 at 10:11:41 AM CDT

[ Parent ]

Indiana Prediction Thread (Contest with Prize) | 20 comments

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